(RepublicanInformer.com)- Donald Trump hasn’t even officially announced whether he will run for president again in 2024.
But, if he does, a new poll says he would defeat Democrat Joe Biden in a head-to-head election.
A new poll conducted by Emerson College found that 47% of people who responded favored the Republican Trump while only 46% favored the Democrat Biden.
If that were to hold true at the polls, it would mark the second consecutive very close presidential election. Biden defeated Trump in a narrow election in 2020 after winning many of the battleground states.
Part of the reason for the flip to Trump is the declining approval rating for the current president, Biden. In February, Biden’s approval rating was 49%. Now, it’s only 46%. In addition, 47% disapprove of the job Biden is doing, while 7% are still undecided on how they feel about his job performance.
The Emerson College poll was conducted immediately following the final United States service members leaving Afghanistan. That disastrous handling of the entire situation in Afghanistan that ultimately led to the Taliban taking control of the country is a major reason why Biden’s approval rating is dropping.
In addition to the head-to-head numbers, both Trump and Biden are the overwhelmingly preferred candidates in their particular party for 2024.
A very large 67% of Republicans said they’d cast their vote for Trump in a GOP primary, while only 10% said they’d prefer to vote for another candidate. Of the alternative possibilities, 32% said they’d vote for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, and 24% said they’d vote for Trump’s former vice president, Mike Pence.
The Emerson Poll also created other hypothetical election scenarios. Biden would favor considerably better against DeSantis, according to the poll, with the president holding an edge of 48% to 36%.
Against Utah Senator Mitt Romney, Biden would receive 42% of the vote, according to the poll, with Romney receiving 23%. Another 29% of voters said they’d prefer to vote for someone else in that scenario.
The director of Emerson College Polling, Spencer Kimball, commented on the results:
“Historically, this data reminds me of 1912 when Teddy Roosevelt failed to win the Republican nomination from then-President Taft and created a third party dooming the Republican chances against Woodrow Wilson.
“This data suggests that Republicans want either Trump or a Trumpian candidate to be their nominee, or half of them may split from the party.”
A majority of Democrats (60%) said they’d prefer for Biden to be their party’s candidate in the 2024 presidential election, while 39% said they’d prefer it to be someone else.
While the 2022 midterm elections are garnering a lot of publicity in the media and between the two major parties, most voters aren’t very excited for them. The poll showed that only 71% of Democrats and 69% of Republicans said they planned to vote in the 2022 midterm elections — despite their importance to the makeup of the next Congress.