(RepublicanInformer.com)- Last week, Politico’s Forecast 2022 predicted that Republicans are not just “likely” to take the House in November’s election, but it is also forecasting that the Senate now “leans” Republican.
While most believe the Republicans will dominate the midterm House races, Politico’s prediction that the US Senate now leans Republican comes as a bit of a surprise.
Politico’s forecast places the House of Representatives as “likely” to flip Republican. The forecast finds 21 contested seats lean blue while another 16 lean Republican. However, House 24 seats are now listed as “toss-ups.”
Meanwhile, Politico forecasts that the Senate, which is evenly split 50/50, is now leaning Republican. The GOP only needs a net gain of one to swing the balance of power in the Senate. Currently, three Democrat-held Senate seats from Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada are looking good for the GOP. However, the Republicans have to fend off major challenges to two GOP-held seats in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Politico also projects that the vacant North Carolina Senate seat is highly contested, but leaning red.
Regarding gubernatorial races, Politico is forecasting no net changes in the number of Republican- or Democrat-led states.
In the notable swing states of Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Nevada, the Republican Party has made significant gains in voter registration. And these new registered Republicans are likely to have an impact on statewide races.
Additionally, disapproval of the Democrats among Hispanic voters is also likely to play a key role in statewide races.
According to an Insider Advantage National Survey released on Monday, Republicans have a 12-point advantage over Democrats in the generic congressional vote, 51 percent to 39 percent.
Last week’s Trafalgar Group’s generic congressional vote showed Republicans with a 9-point advantage over Democrats, 48 percent to 39 percent.
With voter disapproval of President Joe Biden remaining stubbornly high and voters preferring Republicans over Democrats on key issues like the economy, inflation, consumer prices, and crime, November’s election is shaping up to be a bloodbath for the Democrat Party.