New polls have shown that Vice President Kamala Harris is struggling to gain momentum in the key swing state Pennsylvania.
And as those polls get worse, it’s looking more and more likely that the VP just CANNOT win the state. Which probably means a Trump Win overall.
Here’s what you need to know.
At a glance:
- Polls show Kamala Harris is losing ground in Pennsylvania, a key state for Democrats in the 2024 election.
- Trump holds a slight lead in several recent polls, though most margins are within the margin of error.
- Pennsylvania, with its 19 electoral votes, is considered a must-win state, with the candidate winning it having a 90% chance of taking the election.
Recent polling data indicates that Vice President Kamala Harris is losing momentum in Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state Democrats need to secure in November. In a new InsiderAdvantage poll, Donald Trump leads Harris by two points, 49 percent to 47 percent, among likely voters. Similar surveys by Emerson College/The Hill and University of Austin also show Trump ahead by narrow margins. However, these leads fall within the typical margin of error for most polls, signaling a tight race.
According to InsiderAdvantage, Trump’s increasing support among independents, seniors, and African American voters has helped him edge ahead in the state. Of particular concern for the Harris campaign is the noted drop in support among African American males.
Despite the polling shifts, Nate Silver, a prominent polling expert, estimates only a slight increase in Trump’s advantage, calculating a +0.3 shift toward Republicans in the past week. Pennsylvania, a state with 19 electoral votes, has historically been pivotal in presidential elections. Silver’s calculations suggest that the candidate who wins Pennsylvania has more than a 90 percent chance of winning the entire election.
As Harris and Trump battle for critical swing states, Pennsylvania remains a top priority for both campaigns, given its potential to tip the scales in the 2024 election.
How did Kamala think she could possibly win in Pennsylvania? Seriously?
