U.S. airstrikes in Somalia have doubled since President Trump’s return to office, escalating counter-terror operations in the Horn of Africa without a clear shift toward long-term stability.
At a Glance
- U.S. strikes in Somalia have more than doubled compared to last year.
- The surge began in early 2025, targeting both ISIS-Somalia and al-Shabaab militants.
- February strikes in Puntland reportedly killed key ISIS operatives.
- Critics note a lack of progress in peace building or civilian protection.
- Consequences may include dependency on air power and regional destabilization.
Trump’s Air War Resumes
Since his second inauguration, President Trump has significantly expanded U.S. military operations in Somalia. In the first quarter of 2025, at least eight airstrikes were conducted against ISIS-linked fighters, reflecting a return to his earlier pledge to “bomb the hell” out of terror groups.
A particularly notable operation occurred in February, when U.S. Africa Command targeted Islamic State operatives hiding in caves in the Puntland region. The strike reportedly eliminated senior figures involved in coordinating attacks across Somalia.
Escalation Without Exit Plan
Military analysts warn that the surge in drone activity lacks a corresponding investment in civil infrastructure or peacebuilding. Despite aerial success, groups like al-Shabaab continue launching coordinated offensives, including a 2025 campaign in the Shabelle region that overwhelmed local security forces.
Human rights observers have raised concerns over potential civilian harm. A report by AITopics highlighted growing unease about collateral damage, emphasizing the absence of transparent post-strike assessments. Critics argue the reliance on remote warfare risks inflaming anti-U.S. sentiment and destabilizing already fragile governance structures.
Civilian Risks and Regional Fallout
While Washington emphasizes degrading extremist leadership, the absence of on-the-ground accountability has sparked broader concerns. Experts say the intensification of aerial strikes is enabling a policy void where strategic vision should exist.
Meanwhile, regional actors like Puntland have launched their own anti-ISIS operations, often with limited coordination with U.S. forces. As foreign powers maneuver within Somalia’s fractured landscape, the long-term effects of America’s strike-first strategy remain uncertain.
Unless paired with development and diplomacy, the surge may produce tactical wins but strategic stagnation.
